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Saturday May 28, 2022

20th edition of the 10th year of SmartDrivingCars eLetter

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[log in to unmask]" alt="" class="" width="133" height="21">  The Evolving Business of Powering Our Vehicles

M. Sena, May 24, "New Car Assessment Programs (NCAPs) all around the world have created a separate and unequal set of standards for vehicle safety operating in parallel with the Type Approval processes in most countries and the U.S. Federal Motor Vehicle Safety Standards and their equivalents in other countries. One standard is enough. In this month’s the lead article, I look at why this has happened, why it is not a good idea, and what should be done to correct the situation. 

There is no Musings in this month’s issue. Instead, I have put my musings energies to work in Dispatch Central. You can see the topics below. The section ends with a notable quote from the CEO of Stellantis on the topic of battery electric vehicles.

Enjoy your June issue of The Dispatcher. All comments are welcome, whether you want to take exception to something I have written or you just want to let me know that you got something out of reading it. ..." Read more  Hmmmm...  Every month, great reading.  Enjoy!  Alain

[log in to unmask]" src="cid:[log in to unmask]" class="" width="62" height="63"> SmartDrivingCars ZoomCast Episode 269/ PodCast 269  Michael Sena, Publisher of The Dispatcher

F. Fishkin, May 26,  "Smart Driving Cars (episode 269) Did government car ratings take a wrong turn? The star rating system for new cars doesn't offer the protections it should. That's the view of consultant and "The Dispatcher" publisher Michael Sena. He joins Alain Kornhauser and Fred Fishkin for episode 269 of Smart Driving Cars. Plus... another self driving promise from Elon Musk, the Smart Driving Cars Summit and more.."

Technical support provided by: [log in to unmask]" alt="" class="" width="137" height="17" border="0"> https://www.cartsmobility.com/


[log in to unmask]" alt="" class="" width="36" height="36">   Waymo to use autonomous vehicles at Phoenix Airport

M. Druga, May 23, " Waymo recently announced it would introduce its autonomous vehicles at Sky Harbor International Airport in downtown Phoenix.

The company has more than 20 million autonomous public road miles of experience and currently provides fully autonomous rides in Phoenix’s East Valley and San Francisco.

Waymo’s Jaguar I-PACEs will drive autonomously around the clock and be tested near the 44th Street PHX Sky Train Station, close to pickup and drop-off location for other ride-hail services. Testing will begin with Waymo employees hailing rides between Downtown Phoenix and Sky Harbor and eventually expand to the public...." Read more  Hmmmm... Now I understand why Waymo is "too busy" to accept my invitation to come to the 5th Summit this coming week so that we in littl' old Jersey could learn from them and join those who are traveling far and wide who want to help us. 
Seems as if Waymo prefers to focus on being yet another good personal mobility option to get to/from ".... Downtown Phoenix and Sky Harbor ..." and "cherry picking" what is likely the "bread and butter" of cabbies, and Uber/Lyft gig workers.  One market where the clientel is likely to tip well (many are traveling using OPM) and substantially improves the ability of these drivers to make a living and feed their families. 

Waymo has been so phenomenqally successful in carefully and safely getting the Mobility Technology to work, but somehow seems to be tottally lost when it comes to the Sociology of it all. 

Spend all that money on a technological initiative that, when successful, is focused on going after a market that has little chance at delivering more than infinitesimal societal benefit. So sad. 

Hopefully they will license their tech on reasonable terms to someone like Volvo who is better positioned to help us in littl' old Jersey.  Alain

[log in to unmask]" alt="" class="">  Hyundai plans $5 billion investment in U.S. on mobility technology such as autonomous driving and robotics

I. Thomas, May 22, "Hyundai Motor said on Sunday it plans to invest $5 billion in the U.S. by 2025 to further develop mobility technologies in areas like autonomous driving, robotics, and A.I...."  Read more  Hmmmm...  OK, but that's a lot of intiatives that each can use $5B, so we'll see. 

Also: "autonomous" acording to Webster: undertaken or carried on without outside control.  Seems like a big product liability burden for someone making autonomous anything. 

If something bad happens while the thing is doing its own thing, then it must be the thing's maker that will be held reponsible to fix what the autonomous thing broke while doing its own thing; else, society wont let this autonomous thing in its playground.  Alain

[log in to unmask]" alt="" class=""> Musk Says Teslas Will Be Fully-Autonomous, Not Require Driver Next Year

A. Nedelea, May 23, "Elon Musk said back in 2015 that in two years’ time, Teslas would drive themselves without the need for supervision from a human driver. 2017 came and passed and even though the company has made undeniable progress with its self-driving tech, its boss eventually conceded that this was a harder task to achieve than he initially anticipated...."   Read more  Hmmmm... Since Elon has lost all credibility, it really doesn't matter what he is claimed to have said.  As per above, the only statement that we should pay any attention to is if and when Elon ever says.. "if anything bad happens, I'll fix it".  Then we have a chance of it really working well.  Alain

[log in to unmask]" alt="" class="">  Pony.ai loses permit to test autonomous vehicles with driver in California

R. Bellan, May 24, "The California Department of Motor Vehicles revoked Pony.ai’s permit to test its autonomous vehicle technology with a driver on Tuesday for failing to monitor the driving records of the safety drivers on its testing permit.

“While reviewing Pony.ai’s application to renew the testing permit, the DMV found numerous violations on the driving records of active Pony.ai safety drivers,” a spokesperson for the DMV told TechCrunch, noting that Pony had 41 autonomous test vehicles and 71 safety drivers on its permit."..." Read more  Hmmmm... This is serious business with serious implications and it is really important that corners are not cut. Alain


Calendar of Upcoming Events
5th Annual Princeton  SmartDrivingCar Summit
& Community Engagement

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Video Promo

Thursday (evening), June 2, Welcome Reception @ Alain's home (Registration required)
Friday, June 3, Equitable Mobility Innovation Forum @ Princeton University (Registration required)
June 4, Community Engagemnt @ The Carl A. Fields Center for Equality & Tiger Inn , Princeton, NJ (Covid Registration required)
Live in Person
See ZoomCast 265

Recommended Readings & Background Material

in advance of attendance & participation in
5th Annual Princeton  SmartDrivingCar Summit & Community Engagememt

Highlights from the 4th Annual Princeton SmartDrivingCar Summit (2020-2021)

[log in to unmask]" _mf_state="1" title="null" src="cid:[log in to unmask]" class="" width="126" height="36">  Making Driverless Happen: The Road Forward (Updated)

K. Pyle, April 18, 2021, "It's time to hit the start button,"  is Fred Fishkin's succinct way of summarizing the next steps in the Smart Driving Car journey. Fiskin, along with the LA Times' Russ Mitchell co-produced the final session of the 2021 Smart Driving Car Summit, Making It Happen: Part 2. This 16th and final session in this multi-month online conference not only provided a summary of the thought-provoking speakers, but also provided food for thought on a way forward to bring mobility to "the Trentons of the World."

Setting the stage for this final session, Michael Sena provided highlights of the Smart Driving Car journey that started in late December 2020.  Safety, high-quality, and affordable mobility, particularly for those who do not have many options, was a common theme to the 2021 Smart Driving Car Summit. As Princeton Professor Kornhauser, the conference organizer put it,....." Read more  Hmmmm.... We had another excellent Session.  Thank you for the summary, Ken!  Alain

Ken Pyle's Session Summaries of 4th Princeton SmartDrivingCar Summit:

Kornhauser & He, April 2021 "Making it Happen:  A Proposal for Providing Affordable, High-quality, On-demand Mobility for All in the "Trentons" of this World"

Orf467F20_FinalReport "Analyzing Ride-Share Potential and Empty Repositioning Requirements of a Nationwide aTaxi System"

Kornhauser & He, March 2021 "AV 101 + Trenton Affordable HQ Mobility Initiative"

[log in to unmask]" alt="" class="" width="28" height="28">  REQUEST FOR EXPRESSIONS OF INTEREST:  Trenton MOVES

Staff, Dec 6, "The New Jersey Department of Transportation (“NJDOT”), an instrumentality of the State of New Jersey, has issued a Request for Expressions of Interest (“RFEI”) to identify experienced firms capable of introducing a safe, equitable, affordable, sustainable, and efficient on-demand automated vehicle mobility systems in and beyond Trenton, NJ.
NJDOT is soliciting written expressions of interest from qualified and experienced vendors to gain valuable insight from the private industry regarding the goals set forth in the Trenton MOVES (Mobility & Opportunity: Vehicles Equity System) potential project and assess its viability.  If and when NJDOT elects to proceed with a potential project, NJDOT may issue formal
Request(s) for Qualifications or Proposals.

The RFEI is available to be downloaded at  https://www.nj.gov/transportation/business/procurement/ems/current.shtm..."

Staff, March 2, "..." Read more  Hmmmm...   Lots of very encouraging and enthusiastic respondents.  Thanks to NJ DoT for making the replies available to the public at large on a very timely basis allowing everyone to learn a lot and showing that there is broad and competent interest in deploying Safe, Equitable, Affordable, Sustainable, High-quality Mobility throughout Trenton and beyond.  Alain

On the More Technical Side
K. Lockean's AV Research Group at U of Texas

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These editions are sponsored by the SmartETFs Smart Transportation and Technology ETF, symbol MOTO. For more information head to www.motoetf.com 

[log in to unmask]" alt="" class="" width="137" height="17" border="0"> https://www.cartsmobility.com/ provides technical support

SmartDrivingCars ZoomCast Episode 268/ PodCast 268  Bob Kacergis, CCO, Momentum Dynamics

F. Fishkin, May 15, Wireless electric vehicle charging can make autonomous mobility services more affordable for all.   How?   Momentum Dynamics Chief Commercial Officer Bob Kacergis explains on episode 268 of Smart Driving Cars with Princeton's Alain Kornhauser & co-host Fred Fishkin.   Plus..Oshkosh, Torc Robotics, Trenton Moves and more."

SmartDrivingCars ZoomCast Episode 267/ PodCast 267 

F. Fishkin, May 7, "The Princeton Smart Driving Cars Summit is less than a month away, focused on making mobility for all a reality through Trenton Moves.  Plus Tesla says Autopilot is achieving big results in improving vehicle safety.   Join Princeton's Alain Kornhauser & co-host Fred Fishkin for that and more in episode 267 of Smart Driving Cars."

SmartDrivingCars ZoomCast Episode 266/ PodCast 266 w/Michael Sena, Editor of The Dispatcher

F. Fishkin, April 28, "Germany has given the green light for no hands on the wheel mobility.  What does it mean?  The Dispatcher publisher Michael Sena joins us for that...plus Waymo, Tesla, Ford, Argo and more."

SmartDrivingCars ZoomCast Episode 265/ PodCast 265 w/Jim Nicholas, CEO, Uniphy

F. Fishkin, April 23, "Designing the robotaxi rider experience. Uniphy CEO Jim Nicholas is forging partnerships to help transform consumer experiences with vehicles and more.   He joins Alain Kornhauser and Fred Fishkin for that...plus the latest on Tesla, Trenton and more.  "

SmartDrivingCars  ZoomCast Episode 264/ PodCast 264

F. Fishkin, April 15, "Smart Driving Cars episode 264: Massive Robotaxi Move by #Musk and #Tesla?     Elon Musk is saying Tesla will make a massive move into robotaxis.  And what about his attempt to buy Twitter?    Princeton's Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin weigh in on that...plus Argo AI coming to Greenville, South Carolina and Cruise expands Walmart deliveries in Arizona.   That and more on episode 264 of Smart Driving Cars.   Tune in and subscribe..

SmartDrivingCars  ZoomCast Episode 263/ PodCast 263 w/ Henry Posner III'77 Ferroequinalogist

F. Fishkin, April 7, "Mobility takes on a different meaning for Ukrainian refugees.  Henry Posner II and his Railroad Development Corporation has been helping to transport many into Germany.   He joins Alain Kornhauser and Fred Fishkin for episode 263 of Smart Driving Cars.  That plus GM Cruise, Aurora, VW, Qualcomm & more."

SmartDrivingCars  ZoomCast Episode 262/ PodCast 262 w/ Michael Sena

F. Fishkin, March 30, The latest from the Symposium on the Future Networked Car,  the UK investigates laws for driverless cars, cars....politics and Russia, Tesla and some big news from Waymo.   The Dispatcher publisher Michael Sena joins Princeton's Alain Kornhauser & co-host Fred Fishkin for Smart Driving Cars episode 262."

SmartDrivingCars  ZoomCast Episode 261/ PodCast 261 w/ Sven Beiker & Dick Mudge

F. Fishkin, March 25, "Where autonomous mobility vehicles operate matters.  But why does too.  And Mercedes takes a leap.    That and more as Sven Beiker of Silicon Valley Mobility and Dick Mudge of Compass Transportation join Princeton's Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin for episode 261 of Smart Driving Cars."

SmartDrivingCars  ZoomCast Episode 260/ PodCast 260

F. Fishkin, March 21, "Apple reportedly has dissolved its car team and why is Alain now eating at McDonald's?  Episode 260 of Smart Driving Cars with Princeton's Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin has that plus GM, Cruise, Tesla, Aurora, Polestar and more."-

SmartDrivingCars  ZoomCast Episode 259/ PodCast 259 w/ Mo ElShenawy, EVP of Engineering, Cruise

F. Fishkin, March 9, "Cruise, with GM and Honda as operating partners, has gone truly driverless in San Francisco and is seeking permission to eliminate steering wheels in the Cruise Origin.  EVP of Engineering Mo ElShenawy joins Alain Kornhauser and Fred Fishkin for a special edition of Smart Driving Cars.

SmartDrivingCars  ZoomCast Episode 258/ PodCast 258 w/ Michael Sena, Publisher, The Dispatcher

F. Fishkin, March 3, "How will electric vehicle charging stations make money?  The Dispatcher publisher Michael Sena poses that question and many more on episode 258 of Smart Driving Cars with Princeton's Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin.  Plus Ford creates a distinct EV car business, an update on NJ progress and more.   Tune in and subscribe...."

SmartDrivingCars  ZoomCast Episode 257/ PodCast 257 w/ Ciff Winston, Brookings Institute  & Marc Scribner,  Reason Foundation

F. Fishkin, Feb. 25, "So what about these reports and opinion pieces casting doubt on the future of autonomous mobility?  The Brookings Institution's Cliff Winston and Reason Foundation's Marc Scribner join Princeton's Alain Kornhauser & co-host Fred Fishkin to slice and dice.  Plus GM Cruise, VW and more.."

SmartDrivingCars  ZoomCast Episode 256 / PodCast 256  w/ Danny Shapiro, VP Automotive, NVIDIA

F. Fishkin, Feb. 18, " With Jaguar Land Rover signing on to partner with NVIDIA for advanced driver assistance and autonomous capabilities in all of their vehicles starting in 2025,  what will the collaboration mean?   NVIDIA's VP for Automotive Danny Shapiro joins Princeton's Alain Kornhauser & co-host Fred Fishkin for that plus the latest on Waymo, VW, Trenton and more."

SmartDrivingCars  ZoomCast Episode 255 / PodCast 255  w/Brad Templeton

F. Fishkin, Feb. 11, " The engaging debate over disengagements. In episode 255 of Smart Driving Cars, Forbes.com Sr. Transportation Contributor Brad Templeton engages with Princeton's Alain Kornhauser over the path to the future of autonomous mobility.   The latest data on disengagements from companies testing self driving vehicles in California,  Tesla, Cruise, Waymo and New Jersey begins funding Trenton MOVES...are part of the spirited discussion with co-host Fred Fishkin."

SmartDrivingCars Pod-Cast Episode 254, Zoom-Cast Episode 254 w/Alex Roy

F. Fishkin,Feb 4, "Why Self Driving Isn't a Race, It's a Game.  That's what Alex Roy, Director of Special Projects at Argo AI writes at www.groundtruthautonomy.com.Alex joins Princeton's Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin for the latest Smart Driving Cars for a wide ranging discussion on that plus the latest on Trenton Moves, FreightWaves, Tesla,  Waymo, Cruise, Toyota and more ."

SmartDrivingCars Pod-Cast Episode 253, Zoom-Cast Episode 253 w/Michael Sena, Editor of The Dispatcher

F. Fishkin, Jan. 27, "The Federal Trade Commission looks to level the tech playing field...but "The Dispatcher" publisher Michael Sena has some words of warning.   He joins Princeton's Alain Kornhauser and Fred Fishkin for that plus Tesla, Waymo and more on Episode 253 of Smart Driving Cars.."

SmartDrivingCars Pod-Cast Episode 252, Zoom-Cast Episode 252 /Michael Krauss, Prof. of Law Emeritus & Alexandra Mueller, IIHS

F. Fishkin, Jan. 20, " The IIHS has announced it will rate vehicle partial automation systems.   Spearheading is research scientist Alexandra Mueller who joins us. And Professor Emeritus Michael Krauss from the George Mason University School of Law on the manslaughter charges leveled in a Tesla autopilot case in California.   Episode 252 of Smart Driving Cars with Princeton's Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin. "

SmartDrivingCars  Zoom-Cast Episode 251 /A. Kornhauser: Making it Happen:  Trenton MOVES... a Framework for...

F. Fishkin, Jan. 15, " In this special edition of Smart Driving Cars, Princeton's Alain Kornhauser and his presentation: Making it Happen: Trenton Moves-a framework for the deployment of safe, equitable, affordable, sustainable, high quality transportation.      The focus is on providing autonomous mobility in a place where there is real need.  A first.   Join the effort."
Link to 250 previous SDC PodCasts & ZoomCasts

Recent Highlights of:

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Sunday May 15, 2022

[log in to unmask]" alt="" class="">  From pricing carbon to fighting opioid abuse, ORFE showcased top senior projects

A. Nathans, May 11, "When Serena Ren presented her senior thesis on using machine learning for art appraisals last month, she hoped to see her friend, Joyce Luo, present her thesis on fighting opioid addiction. But since all students in the Department of Operations Research and Financial Engineering present their theses in parallel sessions, this was impossible.

But on May 4, Ren and Luo finally got to see each other’s presentations in a classroom in Sherrerd Hall, thanks to the department’s first-ever event in which selected students present their thesis work to the whole department.... "  Read more  Hmmmm...  I'm so proud!  Hopefully we'll be able to release the video so you can enjoy. Keep trying the link:

[log in to unmask]" alt="" class="">  Princeton ORFE Class of 2022 Senior Thesis Symposium "Best 8"

Saturday May 7, 2022

[log in to unmask]" alt="" class="" width="99" height="42">  PAVE VIRTUAL PANEL “AVS AND PUBLIC GOOD: TRENTON MOVES”

PAVE, May 4, "Autonomous vehicle technologies offer incredible potential: they could make our highways safer, they could offer new mobility options for people who can’t drive, and they could help create a more equitable transportation system for those who are not well-served by our current system.

During the month of May, we are highlighting places where AVs are in use — today — being deployed, tested, and used for public good. We want to look at examples of the technology being used to serve food deserts, to expand access to rural communities, to offer new accessibility options, and more.

We are starting with the Trenton MOVES initiative, which is the first large-scale urban transit system in America based entirely on self-driving shuttles. The shuttles, which carry four to eight passengers, serve traditionally underserved Trenton neighborhoods, where 70% of households have limited access to a single automobile, or no access at all. Our panelists will detail the program, describing how it works, the results it has achieved, and their vision for the future......"  Read more  Hmmmm...   Very nice.  Be sure to watch video 😁 and see ZoomCast 267 Alain

Friday, April 30, 2022

[log in to unmask]" alt="" class="">  NJDOT Commissioner Gutierrez-Scaccetti and the Trenton NJ MOVES Program

P. Keller, April 29, "New Jersey recently announced a $5 million grant for the Trenton Mobility & Opportunity: Vehicles Equity System or MOVES Project. The grant to the City of Trenton will support the planned start up and eventual deployment of 100 Autonomous Vehicles that will provide an on-demand automated transit system to serve the 90,000 residents of Trenton....."  Read more  Hmmmm...   Very nice.  😁 AlainSaturday, April 23, 2022

[log in to unmask]" alt="" class="">  Knight Foundation 

April 21, "CARTS Executive Director Jerry He explains to the audience at #CoMotionMiami that:

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Hmmmm...   Yup!  See ZoomCast265 Alain

Thursday, April 15, 2022

[log in to unmask]" alt="" class="" width="46" height="39">  Musk promises 'dedicated robotaxi' with futuristic look from Tesla

H. Jin, April 6, "Electric carmaker Tesla (TSLA.O) will make a "dedicated" self-driving taxi that will "look futuristic," Chief Executive Elon Musk said on Thursday, without giving a timeframe.

The 50-year-old billionaire, wearing a black cowboy hat and sunglasses, made the comments at the opening of Tesla's $1.1 billion factory in Texas, which is home to its new headquarters.

"Massive scale. Full self-driving. There's going to be a dedicated robotaxi," Musk told a large crowd at the factory...."
Read more 

Hmmmm... Wow! It was brilliant for Elon to begin focusing his EVs on rich Californians who already have a stable full of cars to go all the way to grandma's house and back and were really looking for a neat toy.

Elon followed the graceful rollout of his Supercharger infrastructure which enabled the upper-middle class that doesn't have a backup fleet and needs to have a toy and reliably go back and forth to grandma's house.  Viola!!! No longer just a toy.  Seamless evolution to "Massive Scalescale and Massive Profitability. 

RoboTaxis' evolution to "Massive Scaleis turning out to be different.  Starting with rich WesternStaters doesn't seem to be working sociologically for Waymo.  The rides offered seem to be taken for entertainment and side-show purposes rather than valued enablers of enhanced quality of life.  Nice for selfies, but not much more.

Recall fundamental value is to provide a safe, high-quality ride from A to B.  "Safe" is "safe",  but "high-quality" is relative to what one now has readily available.  For the rich, that's where they've already put a lot of money to create for themselves something really nice.  The chances someone is going to offer something better to an individual that has crafted something perfect for themselves is slim-to-none.  Consequently, the service is used primarily for taking selfies. 

For those that don't have their own car for whatever reason  (can't drive, don't want to, too young, too old, and/or too poor) their mobility options are simply dreadful.  Absolutely trivial for an aTaxi service to be viewed as the quality winner and used to provide customer accessibility, improved quality of life, endearment, respect, love, appreciation, loyalty, and use. 

Consequently, if Elon is really serious about achieving "Massive Scale" then he should basically flip his Tesla strategy and start by focusing on serving the mobility needs of those that will fully appreciate and gain the most personal value from his market offering;

  • those that don't already have a stable full of their own personal mobility options.  
  • those for which his aTaxi can substantially change their lives for the better. 

These are the customers of Trenton MOVES; only about 50,000 of Trenton's 90,000 population; but 50,000 that will really appreciate you.  Start by only serving Trenton's 8 square mile area with about 100 vehicles and only during the best 350 days out of the year's 365.25.  

They'll be so appreciative and you will have provided the spark that will allow your aTaxis to go viral!  You'll quickly serve Mercer county, Newark, Camden, Atlantic City, New Brunswick, Toms River, Perth Amboy, all of New Jersey, Eastern Pennsylvania, New York City (except Manhattan), Long Island, ..... 

That's the natural road to "Massive Scale" for Mobility for all.   Start with those in most need and evolve to convert those that will leave their own cars parked in their driveway.  

"Massive Scale" starts with Trenton MOVES Alain

Thursday, March 31, 2022

[log in to unmask]" alt="" class="">  Taking our next step in the City by the Bay

The Waymo Team, March 30, "This morning in San Francisco, a fully autonomous all-electric Jaguar I-PACE, with no human driver behind the wheel, picked up a Waymo engineer to get their morning coffee and go to work. Since sharing that we were ready to take the next step and begin testing fully autonomous operations in the city, we’ve begun fully autonomous rides with our San Francisco employees. They now join the thousands of Waymo One riders we’ve been serving in Arizona, making fully autonomous driving technology part of their daily lives...."  Read more  Hmmmm... Congratulations!  Enormous accomplishment and fundamental expression of confidence in your technology.  Please come to New Jersey where we are certain that you can actually delier "Safe, Equitable, Affordable, Sustainable, HIgh-quality Mobility" that will substantially improve the quality-of-life of many by transforming affordable housing into affordable living and more.

Let's look at the back-of-the-envelope numbers...
Population: 90,000.
PersonTrips/Day (non-walking): 300,000
    IntraTrenton: 150,000
PersonTripLength (90%tile): 10 miles
    intraTrenton (100%tile) 5 miles
Operational Productivity:
    VehicleTrips/Day: 50
    Average Vehicle Occupancy (AVO): 2
    PersontTrips/VehicleDay: 100
    PersonTrips/VehicleYear: 35,000
    100 vehicle fleet productivity: 10,000 PersonTrips/day (1/15th market penetration)
    50% market penetration Fleet requirements:  500 vehicles (AVO =2.5) for 60 PersonTrips/VehicleDay). 
    Depreciation/PersonTrip @ $200k/vehicle, 4 year life = $200,000/(4*35,000) = $10/7 = $1.43/PersonTrip
    Electricity + maintenance + management + ... = $0.57/PersonTrip
    Cost = $2.00/PersonTrip
New Jersey:   
Population: 9+ Million
PersonTrips/Day (non-walking): >30 Million
    IntraNJ + NJT/Septa to/from NYC & PHL: 30 Million
PersonTripLength (90%tile): 10 miles
Operational Productivity
    VehicleTrips/Day: 60
    Average Vehicle Occupancy (AVO): 2.5
    PersontTrips/VehicleDay: 150
    PersonTrips/VehicleYear: 50,000
    10% market penetration (3 Million PersonTrips/Day: Fleet requirements:  20,000 vehicles (AVO =2.5) for 60 PersonTrips/VehicleDay). 
    Depreciation/PersonTrip @ $200k/vehicle, 4 year life = 200,000/(4*35,000)= $10/7 = $1.43
    Electricity + maintenance + management ... = $0.57
    Cost per PersonTrip = $2.00
Revenue:  (10% market penetration: 3M personTrips/Day)
    10% @ cost + 90% market pricing: 
        10% @ $2.00/PersonTrip (300,000*$2.00 = $600,000/day; $200M/year
        90% @ $3.70/personTrip (2.7M*3.70 = $10M/day; 3.5B/year (value poposition could hae the average market price even higher than $3.70/personTrip (+$1.70 over cost)

Profit:  $1.70 *2.7M = $4.6M/day = $1.5B/year
Seems to me that Waymo should have responded to the NJ DoT RfEI and shouldn't be completely ignoring me.  I guess I'm missing something.  Maybe someone else will call me? 😎  Alain

[log in to unmask]" alt="" class="" width="126" height="36">  Moving Forward with Trenton MOVES

K. Pyle, Feb. 9, "Dr. Alain Kornhauser’s vision of bringing equitable, sustainable, and affordable mobility to the people of Trenton took another step forward with the February 9th, 2022 announcement (Facebook) of a $5 million NJDOT Local Transportation Planning Fund Grant for the Trenton Mobility & Opportunity: Vehicles Equity System (MOVES) Project (PDF). The significance of this event goes beyond the grant announcement..."  Read more  Hmmmm... Ken, thank you for the kind words.  Alain

  [log in to unmask]" class="" width="143" height="36" border="0">  Smart Driving Cars Extra: Trenton MOVES gets moving [log in to unmask]" alt="" class="" width="89" height="21" border="0">

Feb. 11, "The New Jersey DOT is providing 5 million dollars to get Trenton MOVES moving.  The goal..autonomous, affordable, safe mobility for all.   This is a video of the event held on February 9th."  Read more  Hmmmm... Fantastic even with challenging audio.  Turn on Closed Caption. The substance is in the quality of the words from the Mayor, Commissioner and Superintendent.  All from the heart. Very worth absorbing.  Alain.

Friday, February 4, 2022


[log in to unmask]" alt="" class="" width="38" height="38">   Trenton MOVES

W. Skaggs, Feb. 3,"We are excited to invite you to join Mayor Gusciora, N.J. Department of Transportation (NJDOT) Commissioner Diane Gutierrez-Scaccetti, and Trenton Public Schools Superintendent James Earle to celebrate a $5 million award from the NJDOT Local Transportation Projects Fund for an unprecedented public transportation project right here in the Capital City. The project is called the Trenton Mobility & Opportunity: Vehicular Equity System (MOVES) initiative.

Originally announced by Governor Murphy and Commissioner Gutierrez-Scaccetti in December, TrentonMOVES seeks to provide a safe, equitable, and affordable high-quality on-demand mobility service to Trenton residents. The effort is a collaboration between the Governor’s Office, NJDOT, the City of Trenton, and Princeton University.

The $5 million award is a huge milestone for the project. This will be the first large-scale urban transit system in America to be based entirely on self-driving shuttles. Each vehicle will carry four to eight passengers at a time. The AVs will be low-cost to users in underserved neighborhoods. The high school will be one of the central destinations on the first routes.

The event will take place at 11:00 a.m. on Wednesday, Feb. 9, 2022 in the Trenton Central High School auditorium. Members of the press will be invited to attend. ...." Read more  Hmmmm... Another real milestone.  

The Trenton MOVES RfEI closed February 25, with 20 submittals.  Next comes the 5thPrinceton  SmartDrivingCar Summit June 2 -> 4, 2022 in Princeton & Trenton, NJ.  The Summit will be  focused on enabling Trentonians to get a first glimpse at technology and mobility systems that can deliver Trenton MOVES' mobility objectives (Safety, Equity, Affordability, Sustainability,..) and, very importantly, enabling technology and mobility companies to learn the market opportunities available to be captured in Trenton, the rest of Mercer County, and throughout New Jersey. 

Trenton MOVES is a win-win opportunity for the citizens of New Jersey (The Public) and the shareholders of mobility provider(s) (The Private), who can come together in a Trenton MOVES Public-Private-Partnership (PPP) that will be created through a Request for Proposal (RfP) process commencing shortly after the close of the Summit.  😁  Alain

[log in to unmask]" class="" width="143" height="36">5th Annual SmartDrivingCars Summit:  Towards Deployment of Safe, Equitable Affordable, Sustainable,  High Quality Mobility throughout New Jersey

   New Date: Thursday evening, June 2, through Saturday June 4, 2022.  Live in Princeton, NJ

Alain L. Kornhauser, PhD
Professor, Operations Research & Financial Engineering
Director of Undergraduate Studies, ORFE
Director, Transportation Program
Faculty Chair, Princeton Autonomous Vehicle Engineering
229 Sherrerd Hall
Princeton University
Princeton, NJ
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609-980-1427 (c)
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